Predict: over time, what will to happen to the populations of light and dark moths on light trees?

Peppered Moth

Natural Selection

Dr. Kettlewell

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Dr. Kettlewell | Hypothesis | Observation | Experiment | Conclusions

Predict: over time, what will to happen to the populations of light and dark moths on light trees?

Dr. Kettlewell

Dr. Kettlewell

Science requires that theories be tested to see if they are supported by evidence. During the 1950’s, Henry Bernard Davis Kettlewell ran a series of experiments and field studies to find out if natural selection had actually caused the rise of the dark peppered moth.

Dr. Kettlewell was an entomologist, a scientist who studies insects. In 1952, he was named a research fellow at Oxford, one of England’s premiere universities. He spent the rest of his life studying peppered moths and other moths known to turn dark through industrial melanism.

Scientists test theories by making predictions based on the theory. They then test the prediction to see if what they observe matches their expectations.

Hypothesis

Dr. Kettlewell thought that if natural selection caused the change in the moth population, the following must be true:

Heavily polluted forests will have mostly dark peppered moths. Clean forests will have mostly light peppered moths. Dark moths resting on light trees are more likely than light moths to be eaten by birds. The reverse should be true on dark trees. Dark moths in polluted forests would live longer than light moths, but dark moths in clean forests would die sooner.

Observation

Amateur entomologists across England helped Dr. Kettlewell map the population of light and dark peppered moths. Their work showed clearly that high populations of dark moths were found near the industrial cities producing pollution. In the countryside not darkened by factory soot, the dark moths were rare. Dr. Kettlewell compared this information with studies on the moth done in the past. It was clear that the dark moths were almost completely absent before the Industrial Revolution. Now they were found only where the forests were polluted.

Experiment

Predict: over time, what will to happen to the populations of light and dark moths on light trees?

Light (top) and dark (bottom) peppered moth. Image by Jerzy Strzelecki via Wikimedia Commons.

To directly study bird predation on the moths, Dr. Kettlewell placed light and dark moths on the trunks of trees where he could observe them. He recorded the times a bird found the moth.

He found that on dark tree trunks, birds were twice as likely to eat a light moth as a dark moth. The same birds would find the dark moth twice as often if the bark on the tree was light. This supported the idea that dark moths had a survival advantage in a dark forest.

Dr. Kettlewell also tested the idea that dark moths live longer in dark forests. He collected groups of light and dark moths. All captured moths were marked so that they could be identified if recaptured. After marking them, both groups were released into the wild.

Two days later, moth traps were used to recapture the moths. In clean forests, twice as many light moths lived to be recaptured as the dark moths. Only half as many light moths were recaptured in polluted forests. He had experimentally shown that if the moth's color matched the environment, it had a better chance of survival.

Conclusions

In 1959, Dr. Kettlewell published an article in Scientific American summarizing his studies of the peppered moth. His years of work made an excellent case for natural selection. Every prediction he made had withstood the test.

In a dark forest, the dark peppered moths were shown to have a survival advantage over light moths. Birds were twice as likely to eat a light moth as a dark moth. Rare before factories were built in England, their increase in numbers was shown to be related to pollution. Natural selection was the best explanation for the change in the moth population over time.

To watch natural selection in action, continue onto the peppered moths game.

Peppered Moth

Natural Selection

Dr. Kettlewell

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Written by: Ronald Rutowski and Sean Hannam
Illustrated by: Sabine Deviche

Blending In

You walk over the tan-colored sand of the empty desert. You are mid-stride through a set when a rattlesnake appears out of the sand in front of you, rattling its tail. Luckily it had warned you of its presence. This snake matched its environment almost perfectly, making it very hard to see.

Predict: over time, what will to happen to the populations of light and dark moths on light trees?

Camouflage is an appearance or behavior that helps something blend in with the surrounding environment. Click for more detail.

The ability for animals to blend in is what helps many avoid being eaten by predators. For others, it is what helps them catch unsuspecting prey. 

Imagine if that same snake were moved to a green leafy rainforest. The colors that helped the snake blend into the desert will make it stand out against the green environment. It will no longer be camouflaged.

This just goes to show you that camouflage doesn’t work everywhere. What helps you hide in one place might make you stand out in others. So what happens when an animal's environment changes? Let’s take a look at one animal species that is famous for changing over time to stay camouflaged: the peppered moth.

A Pick of Pepper

Predict: over time, what will to happen to the populations of light and dark moths on light trees?

The caterpillar of the peppered moth can blend in on some trees, looking like a twig. Click for more detail.

Like many insects, the peppered moth can benefit from blending into its environment. This means its coloration should match with the trees on which it perches. So, what would happen if the trees began changing, and the peppered moths were no longer able to blend in?

It could adapt to these changes in a number of ways. The individuals could move (to try to find trees that match its color). Or the species could have altered behavior, or even change over time to adapt to the new surroundings.

This species has two different adult forms. One form of the species, typica, is a pale lighter color that is peppered with black speckles. The other form, carbonaria, is a much darker color that is peppered with light speckles.

From Light to Dark Moths

Moth collectors in England noted that most peppered moths collected in the early 1800’s were light gray peppered with bits of black. Many years later most of the moths collected were almost completely black.

Predict: over time, what will to happen to the populations of light and dark moths on light trees?

Most of the peppered moths collected in the early 1800s were the light form. Click for more detail.

What could have caused the more common light colored moth to become rare?

Scientists bred the moths and figured out that the light-colored form of the peppered moth has different genes from the dark form. The black color of the dark form was due to a mutation in the DNA of the light-colored form. 

Once this mutation was present, the dark-colored moths would produce offspring with dark-colored wings. Light colored adults that didn't have the mutation produced light offspring. But genetics is only part of the story.

A Changing World

During the 1800’s, Europe and America experienced the Industrial Revolution. It was a time of change in manufacturing processes that led to the building of factories.This enabled humans to make many more things much faster.

In the 1800s, manufacturing processes changed. Click for more detail.

We went from a largely rural society to a city or urban one. One of the new fuel sources that was heavily used during this time period was coal. Small amounts of coal can produce large amounts of heat. It nearly replaced wood in many homes in Europe during this time. It was used for heating homes and cooking and it became the main energy source in factories.  

Coal burning released large amounts of smoke and smog into the surrounding environment.This left a layer of black soot on the once lighter-colored trees. The pollution also killed the light speckled colored lichens that grew on the tree trunks. The tree bark was now exposed and dark without the lichens. How did this affect the peppered moth?

The Pepper in Peppered Moth

Like many moths in forests, the peppered moth tends to rest (or "perch") on tree trunks during the day. They do most of their flying at night. So it would probably be a good thing if the moths look similar to the trees that they perch on, right? Then they can be camouflaged from birds that want to eat them. 

Before the Industrial Revolution, the light peppered moth was common, while the dark form was very rare. The light moths blended in with the light-colored trees. However, the Industrial Revolution changed the tree colors.

Predict: over time, what will to happen to the populations of light and dark moths on light trees?

After the pollution from the Industrial Revolution started affecting trees, most of the collected peppered moths were of the dark form. Click for more detail.

As the trees darkened with soot, the light-colored moths were easier to see. They were eaten by birds more and more, while the rare dark colored moths blended in better on the darker trees. This made the dark colored moths have a higher survival rate. They lived longer and passed their dark colored genes onto their offspring or young. 

Natural Selection in Action

Over time, the dark colored moths became the more common of the two color forms. Natural selection favored the dark individuals, so they were more successful after the trees changed.

Sound a little hard to believe? Well, more observations have come about since these conditions started to reverse, starting in the 1950s. Then, a Clean Air Act was introduced. Since that time, technology and cleaner burning fuels have started to decrease pollution in the areas where the peppered moth lives.  The lichen has started to grow again and the black soot no longer settles on the barks of the trees. As expected, the light peppered moth population has recently been more common in the population. This is because it is better camouflaged.

Changing Colors

Predict: over time, what will to happen to the populations of light and dark moths on light trees?

Dr. Kettlewell wanted to know if natural selection was driving the change in moths. Click to visit the game page and learn more.

Biologists are curious about why coloration can differ among individuals in a species. Many scientists want to look at both how and why a species may change over time.

Scientists like Dr. Henry Bernard Davis Kettlewell used the Scientific Method to test how and why peppered moth coloration changed.

Visit Picking Off the Peppered Moth to learn more.

Need the old version? Click for the Flash version of the Peppered Moth game. 


Images via Wikimedia Commons. Camouflaged spider by Matthias M.

What will to happen to the populations of light and dark moths on light trees?

The dark moths are highly visible to predators against the light tree, but the light are nearly invisible to predators. So, it is likely that more dark moths will be captured by the predators, causing the population of light moths to decrease.

How will moths change over time?

Genetic Changes Moths passed their color to the next generation. Eggs from light moths developed into light moths and dark moth eggs turned to dark adults. The dark color was caused by a mutation in the DNA of a single moth, and the mutated gene had been passed to all its offspring.

Why did the dark colored peppered moths increase in the population around the time of the Industrial Revolution?

The evolution of the peppered moth is an evolutionary instance of directional colour change in the moth population as a consequence of air pollution during the Industrial Revolution. The frequency of dark-coloured moths increased at that time, an example of industrial melanism.

Why was there a shift from light colored moths to dark colored moths?

As industrial pollution turned tree trunks dark with soot, the population of moths changed from predominantly light in color to predominantly dark. This is because the dark variants were more camouflaged on sooty trees, and less likely to be eaten by birds than their light counterparts.